Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 2.352610 2.491150 2.642364 2.821472 3.030354 3.269648 3.569838
2025-10-19 2.199590 2.370866 2.565933 2.808963 3.110597 3.483454 3.999415
2025-10-26 2.104520 2.296566 2.521994 2.813599 3.193674 3.694619 4.453923
2025-11-02 2.001997 2.201433 2.440016 2.756245 3.182256 3.770022 4.725854
2025-11-09 1.933814 2.141258 2.393780 2.736239 3.212632 3.901178 5.110338
2025-11-16 1.877772 2.091501 2.355591 2.721011 3.244309 4.034600 5.535453
2025-11-23 1.827062 2.044983 2.317638 2.701419 3.265130 4.151163 5.968205
2025-11-30 1.797488 2.023119 2.309501 2.720765 3.343565 4.372897 6.718466
2025-12-07 1.731392 1.951442 2.231750 2.636353 3.253938 4.288455 6.717919
2025-12-14 1.694020 1.915401 2.199750 2.615053 3.260831 4.377907 7.207891
2025-12-21 1.654855 1.875506 2.160656 2.580818 3.243411 4.418682 7.590634
2025-12-28 1.649446 1.879370 2.180701 2.633901 3.372923 4.767842 9.257727
2026-01-04 1.648990 1.890624 2.212599 2.709006 3.553194 5.285480 12.801189
2026-01-11 1.621142 1.863916 2.189845 2.698122 3.579884 5.467053 15.398202
2026-01-18 1.599993 1.845422 2.177729 2.702782 3.635127 5.736006 20.729604
2026-01-25 1.563066 1.804301 2.131650 2.650637 3.577916 5.696969 22.470141
2026-02-01 1.538242 1.779056 2.107535 2.632553 3.584578 5.836532 30.312628
2026-02-08 1.516041 1.756764 2.086841 2.618780 3.598170 6.001680 50.681693
2026-02-15 1.493836 1.733858 2.064436 2.600946 3.601879 6.140517 171.796371
2026-02-22 1.482863 1.726111 2.063795 2.618828 3.679674 6.545848 NaN
2026-03-01 1.446060 1.681596 2.007685 2.541316 3.552696 6.224532 NaN
2026-03-08 1.426513 1.660843 1.986323 2.521762 3.546876 6.329088 NaN
2026-03-15 1.404472 1.636169 1.958524 2.490241 3.513516 6.330216 NaN